
Partner
Hogan Lovells
Protection of foreign investments in the mining sector
With the energy transition, the demand for metals and minerals is significant. These are vital for energy transition infrastructure, such as wiring and electrification, and the production of battery energy storage systems and electric vehicles. According to the World Bank, the demand for the minerals and metals required for electrification and battery manufacturing is expected to increase threefold by 2040 and sixfold by 2050.
Investments in mining projects are both time and capital intensive and have long-term profit horizons. Investors may have to contend with political and regulatory change that could affect the economic viability of their investments. This can be unpredictable, and relationship-driven means of mitigating political risk may no longer be effective following (in particular) a change in government. In recent times, many governments have been elected on the back of promises of a protectionist approach. This may lead to amendments to mining codes, contract renegotiations, stricter regulations, or export bans.
I will explore how political change impacts mining investments, and how mining companies can take steps to protect themselves against political risk. When State interference affects a foreign investment it can lead to claims under investment treaties as investors seek to protect their position. Investors investing in mining would be well-advised to ensure that they are entitled to protection.